Personal Ravings
Glasgow Green Cycle Club and Zwift
Glasgow Green Cycle Club (GGCC) has been running group rides, races and TTs on Zwift since November 2017, with a high degree of realism for GGCC riders, including the GGCC jersey and bib shorts in every GGCC Zwift event, for everyone worldwide to use.
6Points Challenges and Zwift
6Points Challenges has been running group rides and races on Zwift for several years now, with a high degree of realism for 6Points riders, with the 6Points jersey and bib shorts in every 6Points Zwift event for everyone worldwide to use.
My Coronavirus model post-Pirola
I have updated my Coronavirus model to include an assessment of the potential impact of the new BA.2.86 Pirola variant. The model factors in age-group structures, transmission rates, vaccination phases, and non-pharmaceutical interventions. The model finds that despite reported decreases in Covid-19 cases in the UK, case recording has been high with recent data seeming…
My Coronavirus UK model outcomes as ONS reporting comes to an end
The UK Office of National Statistics (ONS) had just announced that it was ceasing publication of the regular cases and deaths outcomes of the UK Covid-19 pandemic, as of 24th March 2023, and then revised all previously published Covid data. I was able to make global changes to most of my model history, by re-working some…
Official UK Coronavirus reporting ends
Introduction I have continued to run my own Coronavirus model, my recent prior report on February 9th this year having immediately followed the outbreak of the “Kraken” variant, Omicron XBB.1.5, in the UK. This brief post provides my own latest charts from my model, in the light of cessation of the UK Government’s own Covid…
The Kraken Wakes*
I have continued to improve and run my Coronavirus model daily. The code for the model is now at version 172, and I have added a dataset to represent the variant XBB.1.5, known informally as “Kraken”. The fit of the model to reported deaths is good. I explore in the article the behaviour of Modelled…
How Zwift helps train for 6Points Ibiza and Formentera
Looking back at our 6Points ride to the 6 Compass points of both Formentera and Ibiza over the weekend of 4/5/6th October
Some of my bike rides in Mallorca, Ibiza and Formentera: past, present and future
Here are some bike rides I have enjoyed in the Balearics during the last seven years. I’m looking forward to my first post-pandemic visit in October for the 6Points Ibiza and Formentera, which I last rode in the autumn of 2019, with some additional Mallorca riding before and after. Some of the following rides are…
Omicron continues to surprise
Introduction In my most recent articles on the Omicron variants of Covid-19, I have highlighted the discrepancy between plummeting Active Cases and increasing cumulative Deaths. My model draws attention to this, by comparing the previous alignment of modelled and reported data, prior to February 24th, with the recent divergence. This post continues to summarise the…
Declining Omicron cases but increasing deaths
Something odd seems to be happening with the relationship between reported UK Covid-19 cases and deaths in the last few weeks, when deaths have been increasing somewhat more quickly than recently, but cases have declined steeply. My model charts seem to expose this oddity.
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A rambling mind 